Barrie, Ontario Real Estate Market — September 2026
September 2026 was a buyer's market in Barrie: 26% of new listings sold, inventory sits at 6.9 months, and 86% of sales over the past year closed below list price.
The fewest sales in a 12-month stretch since 2010.
1,896 homes sold in the 12 months to September, the lowest total in the record. The 12-month average price is $673,609, 20.0% below its July 2022 peak, and still falling 6.6% a year.
Market phase: correction, buyers in control. Listings are shrinking, but sales and prices are still lower than a year ago.
Barrie Housing Market — September 2026 At a Glance
September 2026 was a buyer's market in Barrie, Ontario. Sales came in at 139, 28.0% fewer than a year earlier, and the median price was $635,000, down 5.9%. Active listings are 11.0% lower than last September, but sales fell faster, so inventory rose to 6.88 months from 5.57. Compare with the Simcoe County housing market and, to the south, the Bradford West Gwillimbury market report. Every figure below is compared with the same month a year earlier, which removes the seasonal swing.
September 2026 — Full Breakdown
Prices, inventory, what's moving and what's sitting — explained in plain language. Subscribe to get every monthly market video the moment it drops.
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Is Barrie a Buyer's or Seller's Market? — September 2026
The cleanest single read on who holds the leverage is the share of new listings that sell. Under 40% is a buyer's market and over 60% is a seller's market. We show it three ways, because one month can swing: the latest month, the last three months and the last twelve.
Balance Meter
The needle shows the latest month, which can swing. The three- and 12-month reads are steadier.
Seven signals, Jul to Sep 2026 against the same months a year earlier.
Hotter means tighter for buyers; cooler means more room. A signal moves only when it changes by a set amount: 5% for sales and listings, 2% for price, 3 points for the ratios, 0.3 months for inventory.
33% of new listings sold over the last 12 months. The median since 2010 is 63%.
5.81 months on the three-month measure, against 5.91 a year earlier. How long the current stock of listings would last at the current pace of sales.
Every Month Since 2010 — Share of New Listings That Sold
Charcoal favours buyers, gold favours sellers, and the pale middle is balanced. Read across a row to see the season; read down a column to compare the same month over 17 years.
Best positioned right now: Buyers with financing in place, especially for condo apartments, where 25% of new listings sold, 92% of sales closed below list and inventory is 7.71 months. Move-up buyers too: the step from a row townhouse to a detached home is 29.7%, narrower than its long-run 33.0%.
Most pressure: Sellers priced to last year's market. The median listing asked $698,000 in September; the median sale closed at $635,000.
Not sure what 6.9 months of inventory means for your situation?
Get a Custom Breakdown →Barrie Home Price Trends — 2010 to September 2026
One month's average price moves with the mix of homes that happened to sell. To see the real trend we use the 12-month average: total dollar volume divided by total sales over the trailing year. On that measure Barrie peaked at $841,960 in July 2022 and now stands at $673,609, 20.0% lower, the deepest point of this correction so far. The earlier correction bottomed 5.0% below its peak in May 2018.
12-month average $673,609, −6.6% on the year.
12-month average price against its highest level to that point. Zero means a new high. Today: −20.0%.
| Month | Median Price | Average Price | Sales | Median vs a Year Earlier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 ✦ | $635,000 | $673,977 | 139 | −5.9% |
| Aug 2026 | $648,450 | $662,997 | 166 | −1.2% |
| Jul 2026 | $654,000 | $669,371 | 189 | −3.8% |
| Jun 2026 | $644,250 | $655,701 | 194 | −8.4% |
| May 2026 | $640,000 | $673,524 | 215 | −7.2% |
| Apr 2026 | $670,000 | $662,446 | 183 | −5.0% |
| Mar 2026 | $659,900 | $659,955 | 155 | −7.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $632,500 | $657,177 | 125 | −12.2% |
| Jan 2026 | $670,000 | $690,328 | 101 | −9.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $657,500 | $676,459 | 110 | −8.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $653,550 | $664,016 | 138 | −6.0% |
| Oct 2025 | $685,000 | $737,362 | 181 | −6.8% |
| Sep 2025 | $675,000 | $707,394 | 193 | −7.2% |
How Much Are Barrie Buyers Negotiating?
Whether homes sell above or below their list price is the most direct measure of who is negotiating from strength. At the height of the last cycle, in February 2022, 76% of Barrie homes sold above list over the year. Today 86% sell below it.
Each month's share weighted by that month's sales and averaged over 12 months. Above and below are measured against the original list price.
Barrie Home Prices by Property Type — Detached, Condo & Townhouse
Detached homes are 61% of Barrie's resale activity. Every property type is below its price peak, by 14.8% to 24.6%, and every type is lower than a year ago, so the correction is market-wide. Only semi-detached homes sit in balanced territory; the rest favour buyers. Figures cover the last 12 months, because the smaller types record few sales in a month. Investors can cross-check the investment deal analyzer.
Total dollar volume divided by sales over the trailing 12 months, for each property type.
The Last 12 Months by Property Type
| Property Type | Sales | Share | Average Price | vs Year Ago | From Peak | Listings Sold | Below List | Active | Months Inv. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All homes | 1,896 | 100% | $673,609 | −6.6% | −20.0% | 33% | 86% | 957 | 5.81 |
| Detached | 1,166 | 61% | $756,015 | −7.0% | −21.4% | 34% | 86% | 529 | 5.04 |
| Semi-detached | 73 | 4% | $612,731 | −7.6% | −14.8% | 42% | 71% | 25 | 5.77 |
| Row townhouse | 256 | 14% | $582,850 | −8.4% | −21.7% | 37% | 82% | 114 | 5.18 |
| Condo townhouse | 71 | 4% | $452,087 | −10.7% | −24.6% | 28% | 90% | 49 | 8.65 |
| Condo apartment | 234 | 12% | $464,294 | −12.6% | −21.1% | 25% | 92% | 167 | 7.71 |
All homes also counts link homes and other types not listed, so shares do not add to 100%. Months of inventory is the three-month measure.
Current Active Inventory Snapshot
Is Now a Good Time to Upgrade in Barrie?
A move-up buyer sells and buys in the same market, so what matters is the gap between the two homes. We track that gap every month back to 2010. Today a detached home costs 29.7% more than a row townhouse, below the long-run median of 33.0%, so the step up is cheaper than usual. In dollars it is $173,165, down from $222,271 at its widest in August 2022. Review the buyer's guide before making your move.
| Upgrade Path | Selling (12-Mo Avg) | Buying (12-Mo Avg) | Step Up | Premium | Typical Since 2010 | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Row townhouse → Detached | $582,850 | $756,015 | $173,165 | +29.7% | +33.0% | Narrower than usual |
| Semi-detached → Detached | $612,731 | $756,015 | $143,284 | +23.4% | +35.1% | Narrower than usual |
| Condo townhouse → Detached | $452,087 | $756,015 | $303,929 | +67.2% | +67.4% | In line with normal |
| Condo apartment → Row townhouse | $464,294 | $582,850 | $118,557 | +25.5% | +11.0% | Wider than usual |
| Condo apartment → Semi-detached | $464,294 | $612,731 | $148,438 | +32.0% | +13.7% | Wider than usual |
| Condo townhouse → Row townhouse | $452,087 | $582,850 | $130,764 | +28.9% | +24.5% | Wider than usual |
A free home valuation gives you your current equity position, the essential first step before any move-up decision. Also review the seller's guide to understand your net proceeds. Get a Free Valuation →
The premium has ranged from +26.9% in April 2023 to +45.7% in March 2017. It was lower than today in 22% of earlier months.
Thinking about upgrading? Find out what your current home is worth first.
Free Home Valuation →Barrie Neighbourhoods — Where to Buy in 2026
Each Barrie neighbourhood has its own price point and pace. For nearby markets, compare with the Simcoe County report and Bradford West Gwillimbury to the south. A neighbourhood sees only a handful of sales in a month, so the figures below cover the full 12 months to September 2026. Neighbourhoods with fewer than 12 sales in that time are left out.
Supply Pressure by Community — 12 Months to September 2026
| Community | Sales | Average Price | vs Year Ago | Listings Sold | Below List | Active | Months Inv. | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly | 209 | $681,109 | −7.0% | 42% | 84% | 70 | 3.68 | Balanced |
| Ardagh | 168 | $656,600 | −4.8% | 30% | 85% | 93 | 6.34 | Buyer-leaning |
| Painswick South | 149 | $654,922 | −6.2% | 31% | 88% | 78 | 6.50 | Buyer-leaning |
| Innis-Shore | 113 | $782,998 | −5.9% | 26% | 87% | 70 | 6.18 | Buyer-leaning |
| Rural Barrie Southeast | 89 | $714,770 | −10.3% | 23% | 73% | 67 | 10.05 | Buyer-leaning |
| Painswick North | 83 | $624,726 | −12.7% | 38% | 81% | 38 | 6.33 | Buyer-leaning |
| City Centre | 74 | $570,017 | −8.1% | 24% | 97% | 57 | 9.50 | Buyer-leaning |
| Grove East | 67 | $633,425 | −4.1% | 32% | 87% | 43 | 7.17 | Buyer-leaning |
| Letitia Heights | 67 | $593,491 | −7.3% | 35% | 90% | 31 | 5.81 | Buyer-leaning |
| Allandale Heights | 64 | $689,604 | −9.1% | 44% | 87% | 18 | 4.15 | Balanced |
| East Bayfield | 62 | $676,674 | −9.7% | 43% | 90% | 17 | 2.43 | Balanced |
| Sunnidale | 59 | $677,766 | −2.4% | 40% | 81% | 28 | 4.94 | Buyer-leaning |
| Bayshore | 58 | $878,314 | −0.7% | 37% | 84% | 31 | 6.20 | Buyer-leaning |
| Northwest | 58 | $688,609 | −12.8% | 46% | 88% | 13 | 2.17 | Balanced |
| Edgehill Drive | 56 | $701,556 | −10.9% | 40% | 91% | 19 | 5.70 | Buyer-leaning |
| Wellington | 54 | $610,425 | −10.0% | 30% | 91% | 33 | 9.00 | Buyer-leaning |
| Codrington | 52 | $747,856 | −6.0% | 33% | 79% | 37 | 7.40 | Buyer-leaning |
| Allandale | 49 | $618,010 | −3.3% | 35% | 82% | 20 | 3.75 | Buyer-leaning |
| West Bayfield | 49 | $684,822 | −1.6% | 40% | 88% | 15 | 5.00 | Balanced |
| Georgian Drive | 46 | $555,683 | −13.8% | 32% | 93% | 26 | 7.09 | Buyer-leaning |
| Cundles East | 44 | $602,895 | −5.8% | 34% | 89% | 24 | 6.00 | Buyer-leaning |
| Little Lake | 42 | $709,557 | −1.6% | 37% | 90% | 18 | 5.40 | Buyer-leaning |
| 400 West | 35 | $594,143 | +0.1% | 41% | 89% | 8 | 2.00 | Balanced |
| Rural Barrie Southwest | 32 | $699,043 | −12.5% | 26% | 75% | 14 | 4.67 | Buyer-leaning |
| North Shore | 28 | $761,304 | +12.3% | 32% | 93% | 19 | 7.12 | Buyer-leaning |
| Queen's Park | 21 | $646,871 | +8.1% | 23% | 81% | 25 | 12.50 | Buyer-leaning |
| Lakeshore | 17 | $666,088 | −15.5% | 28% | 94% | 11 | 4.71 | Buyer-leaning |
| Alliance | 16 | $348,525 | −19.8% | 33% | 81% | 6 | 3.60 | Buyer-leaning |
Listings sold = sales ÷ new listings over 12 months. Above 60% = seller-leaning; 40–60% = balanced; below 40% = buyer-leaning. Average prices cover all property types, so a change in the mix of homes sold can move a neighbourhood's average as much as the market does.
Buying or Selling in Barrie? September 2026 Strategy Guide
Buyers hold the leverage. Price to the sold data, not the asking prices.
The median listing asks $698,000; the median sale closes at $635,000. 86% of sales over the last year closed below list, and homes that sold in September took a median of 32 days.
Price is the strategy. Timing is not. Talk to Matthew directly →
Barrie Investment & Rental Market Outlook — 2026
The average lease signed through the MLS in Barrie over the last 12 months was $2,356 a month, down 2.8% on the year. The headline moves with the mix of unit sizes, so read it by bedroom count: 1-bedroom −0.3%, 2-bedroom −2.2%, 3-bedroom −2.7%, 4-bedroom −1.8%. Every size rents for less than a year ago, so the drop is real, not a mix effect. See the full Barrie rental market report.
Total lease value divided by leases signed over the trailing 12 months, for each bedroom count.
| Bedrooms | Leases, 12 Months | Average Rent | vs Year Ago | From Peak | Listings Leased | Active | Median Days to Lease |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom | 367 | $1,881 | −0.3% | −6.1% | 64% | 61 | 25 |
| 2 bedroom | 515 | $2,186 | −2.2% | −6.4% | 58% | 105 | 17 |
| 3 bedroom | 640 | $2,575 | −2.7% | −3.4% | 56% | 144 | 24 |
| 4 bedroom | 225 | $2,980 | −1.8% | −9.1% | 56% | 47 | 36 |
For Investors
For Renters
For Landlords
Rents are averages of leases signed through the MLS® over the last 12 months. The gross yield compares average rent with average sale price for row townhouses; they are not the same homes, so treat it as a rough guide.
Buying in Barrie right now
Buyers hold the leverage in Barrie: 26% of new listings sold in September and inventory sits at 6.9 months, so you have time to compare homes and keep your conditions. The median sale closed at 97.0% of its list price after 32 days, so offer from recent sold prices, not the asking price. Expect less room on semi-detached homes, where 42% of new listings sold over 12 months.
Want to Know What This Market Means for You?
Every situation is different. I break down your exact position — whether you're buying, selling, or investing — using the current Barrie data.
Barrie Real Estate FAQ — Prices, Market & Neighbourhoods
Prices & Market Conditions
Neighbourhoods & Location
Buying & Selling
Barrie Real Estate Forecast — What to Watch in October & November 2026
Our test for a structural recovery in Barrie: 180 or more sales a month with inventory at 5.0 months or less. Here is how each of the last 12 months scored. One month passed (May 2026, 215 sales). September fell back to 139 sales with 6.88 months of inventory.
Gold: recovery test met. Charcoal: caution (sales under 150, or inventory over 6 months). Pale: in between.
Inventory back to 5.0 months or less with sales at 180 or more. Last year sales were 181 in October and 138 in November; matching those with fewer listings would tighten the market. Watch the share of sales closing below list: 88% over the last three months.
Sales below 150 a month or inventory above 6.0 months. The 12-month average price is falling 6.6% a year, faster than a year ago; until that rate eases, the correction is still running.
This is what separates informed decisions from guesswork. Bookmark the Barrie real estate market 2026 report — updated monthly, with every month back to 2010.
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Prices, inventory, and what it means for buyers and sellers — delivered before it's publicly posted.
Related Reports & Resources
Coverage
Resale transactions and leases recorded through the MLS® for Barrie, Ontario. Source: HabiStat MLS® statistics, all associations, monthly from January 2010 to September 2026. Excludes new construction sold by builders, assignment sales and private sales. The current partial month is reported separately and left out of every calculation.
Key Definitions
Share of new listings sold (SNLR): sales divided by new listings in the period. Months of inventory: how long active listings would last at the current pace of sales; the three-month measure uses the trailing three months of sales. 12-month average price: total dollar volume divided by total sales over the trailing 12 months. Sale-to-list: sale price as a percentage of list price. Distance from peak: the 12-month average price against its highest level to that point.
How the Reads Are Made
Market phase compares the latest three months with the same three months a year earlier and tags each signal hotter, cooler or steady by a fixed threshold. The balance meter treats under 40% of new listings selling as a buyer's market and over 60% as a seller's market. These are rules applied to the data, not forecasts.
Limitations
Figures by property type or neighbourhood rest on smaller samples and can move with the mix of homes sold, which is why they are shown over 12 months. Average rents cover leases through the MLS® only. All data is subject to revision.
Mis-keyed lease records: in November 2012, the MLS® data holds lease values far above any rent, most likely sale prices or extra zeros (a property type or bedroom count whose average was more than 2.2 times its median). Those records are counted at that month's median rent, and the excess is taken out of the all-homes figure. Lease counts are unchanged. Left in, they would set a false rent peak.
Editorial Notes
Neighbourhood descriptions and commute times are editorial and are not appraisals. Commute times reflect typical off-peak conditions.
All metrics are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. MLS® is a registered trademark of the Canadian Real Estate Association. Matthew Gizzie is a registered REALTOR® with Keller Williams Realty Centres, Brokerage.
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