Whitchurch-Stouffville Real Estate Market — September 2026
September 2026 was a buyer's market in Whitchurch-Stouffville: 26% of new listings sold, inventory sits at 7.4 months, and 79% of sales over the past year closed below list price.
The headline price is flat. Most homes are not.
The 12-month average price is $1,267,927, +1.0% on the year, yet every property type is lower than a year ago, by 1.3% to 13.0%. More rural and estate sales are holding the average up. Stouffville town, 75% of sales, is −4.0%.
Market phase: soft, buyers in control. Inventory is 7.37 months, the highest since June 2025.
Whitchurch-Stouffville Housing Market — September 2026 At a Glance
September 2026 was a buyer's market in Whitchurch-Stouffville, in line with the broader York Region housing market. Sales came in at 46, 11.5% fewer than a year earlier, and the median price was $1,074,000, down 3.8%. Supply went the other way: new listings were 4.8% higher and active listings 3.7% higher than last September. For context on a neighbouring market, see the Markham real estate market report. Every figure below is compared with the same month a year earlier, which removes the seasonal swing that month-to-month comparisons carry.
September 2026 — Full Breakdown
Prices, inventory, what's moving and what's sitting — explained in plain language. Subscribe to get every monthly market video the moment it drops.
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Is Whitchurch-Stouffville a Buyer's or Seller's Market? — September 2026
The cleanest single read on who holds the leverage is the share of new listings that sell. Under 40% is a buyer's market and over 60% is a seller's market. We show it three ways, because one month can swing: the latest month, the last three months and the last twelve.
Balance Meter
The needle shows the latest month, which can swing. The three- and 12-month reads are steadier.
Seven signals, Jul to Sep 2026 against the same months a year earlier.
Hotter means tighter for buyers; cooler means more room. A signal moves only when it changes by a set amount: 5% for sales and listings, 2% for price, 3 points for the ratios, 0.3 months for inventory.
35% of new listings sold over the last 12 months. The median since 2010 is 50%.
7.11 months on the three-month measure, against 5.61 a year earlier. How long the current stock of listings would last at the current pace of sales.
Every Month Since 2010 — Share of New Listings That Sold
Charcoal favours buyers, gold favours sellers, and the pale middle is balanced. Read across a row to see the season; read down a column to compare the same month over 17 years.
Best positioned right now: Buyers with financing in place, especially for detached homes, where 85% of sales closed below list and inventory is 6.88 months, and above all in the rural and Ballantrae markets, with 16.5 and 11.4 months of inventory.
Most pressure: Sellers priced to last year's market. Over the last 12 months, 44 listings were pulled for every 100 that came to market, against a long-run norm of 30.
Not sure what 7.4 months of inventory means for your situation?
Get a Custom Breakdown →Whitchurch-Stouffville Home Price Trends — 2010 to September 2026
One month's average price moves with the mix of homes that happened to sell, and in Whitchurch-Stouffville a few rural estate sales can move it a long way. To see the real trend we use the 12-month average: total dollar volume divided by total sales over the trailing year. On that measure Whitchurch-Stouffville peaked at $1,495,266 in June 2022 and now stands at $1,267,927, 15.2% lower.
12-month average $1,267,927, +1.0% on the year.
12-month average price against its highest level to that point. Zero means a new high. Today: −15.2%.
| Month | Median Price | Average Price | Sales | Median vs a Year Earlier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 ✦ | $1,074,000 | $1,182,317 | 46 | −3.8% |
| Aug 2026 | $970,000 | $1,132,818 | 49 | −14.2% |
| Jul 2026 | $1,097,750 | $1,232,058 | 54 | +6.1% |
| Jun 2026 | $1,130,000 | $1,270,515 | 51 | −9.6% |
| May 2026 | $1,050,000 | $1,267,037 | 59 | −7.9% |
| Apr 2026 | $1,047,500 | $1,206,431 | 43 | −8.9% |
| Mar 2026 | $1,055,000 | $1,158,256 | 51 | −8.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $1,128,000 | $1,442,739 | 31 | −0.9% |
| Jan 2026 | $992,500 | $1,220,925 | 28 | −11.2% |
| Dec 2025 | $1,130,000 | $1,602,821 | 39 | −8.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $1,114,500 | $1,304,072 | 60 | +3.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $1,210,000 | $1,291,509 | 56 | +15.8% |
| Sep 2025 | $1,116,500 | $1,235,636 | 52 | −10.7% |
How Much Are Whitchurch-Stouffville Buyers Negotiating?
Whether homes sell above or below their list price is the most direct measure of who is negotiating from strength. At the height of the last cycle, in February 2022, 63% of Whitchurch-Stouffville homes sold above list over the year. Today 79% sell below it.
Each month's share weighted by that month's sales and averaged over 12 months. Above and below are measured against the original list price.
Whitchurch-Stouffville Home Prices by Property Type — Detached, Condo & Townhouse
Detached homes are 66% of Whitchurch-Stouffville's resale activity and row townhouses 21%. Every property type is below its price peak, by 14.8% to 25.0%. Row townhouses are the one balanced segment, with 46% of new listings sold. Figures here cover the last 12 months; semi-detached and condo sales number fewer than 25 a year each, so read those rows as direction only. Investors can cross-check the real estate investor guide and the investment deal analyzer.
Total dollar volume divided by sales over the trailing 12 months, for each property type.
The Last 12 Months by Property Type
| Property Type | Sales | Share | Average Price | vs Year Ago | From Peak | Listings Sold | Below List | Active | Months Inv. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All homes | 567 | 100% | $1,267,927 | +1.0% | −15.2% | 35% | 79% | 339 | 7.11 |
| Detached | 377 | 66% | $1,434,585 | −1.3% | −18.9% | 36% | 85% | 218 | 6.88 |
| Semi-detached | 23 | 4% | $897,475 | −10.0% | −20.4% | 38% | 52% | 9 | 3.86 |
| Row townhouse | 119 | 21% | $860,672 | −9.8% | −20.0% | 46% | 65% | 36 | 4.15 |
| Condo townhouse | 14 | 2% | $622,643 | −13.0% | −25.0% | 32% | 79% | 9 | 4.50 |
| Condo apartment | 18 | 3% | $715,917 | −3.7% | −14.8% | 17% | 94% | 26 | 26.00 |
All homes also counts link homes and other types not listed, so shares do not add to 100%. Months of inventory is the three-month measure.
Current Active Inventory Snapshot
Is Now a Good Time to Upgrade in Whitchurch-Stouffville?
A move-up buyer sells and buys in the same market, so what matters is the gap between the two homes, not the level of prices. We track that gap every month back to 2010. Today a detached home costs 66.7% more than a row townhouse, against a long-run median of 62.7%, so the step up is a little wider than normal: row townhouse prices have fallen faster than detached over the last year. In dollars the gap is $573,913, against $713,438 at its widest in April 2022. Review the full buyer's guide for York Region before making your move.
| Upgrade Path | Selling (12-Mo Avg) | Buying (12-Mo Avg) | Step Up | Premium | Typical Since 2010 | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Row townhouse → Detached | $860,672 | $1,434,585 | $573,913 | +66.7% | +62.7% | Wider than usual |
| Semi-detached → Detached | $897,475 | $1,434,585 | $537,111 | +59.8% | +55.5% | Wider than usual |
| Condo townhouse → Detached | $622,643 | $1,434,585 | $811,942 | +130.4% | +130.8% | In line with normal |
| Condo apartment → Row townhouse | $715,917 | $860,672 | $144,756 | +20.2% | +23.0% | In line with normal |
| Condo apartment → Semi-detached | $715,917 | $897,475 | $181,558 | +25.4% | +29.1% | Narrower than usual |
| Condo townhouse → Row townhouse | $622,643 | $860,672 | $238,029 | +38.2% | +39.6% | In line with normal |
A free home valuation gives you your current equity position, the essential first step before any move-up decision. Also review the seller's guide to understand your net proceeds. Get a Free Valuation →
The premium has ranged from +46.8% in August 2023 to +82.6% in June 2017. It was lower than today in 64% of earlier months.
Thinking about upgrading? Find out what your current home is worth first.
Free Home Valuation →Whitchurch-Stouffville Communities — Where to Buy in 2026
Whitchurch-Stouffville is three separate markets: Stouffville town, the rural estate and acreage market, and Ballantrae. For adjacent markets, see Markham, Aurora and East Gwillimbury. Rural and Ballantrae see only a handful of sales in any one month, so the figures below cover the full 12 months to September 2026, which is the shortest window that gives a reliable read.
Supply Pressure by Community — 12 Months to September 2026
| Community | Sales | Average Price | vs Year Ago | Listings Sold | Below List | Active | Months Inv. | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stouffville | 428 | $1,063,106 | −4.0% | 40% | 76% | 176 | 4.80 | Buyer-leaning |
| Rural Whitchurch-Stouffville | 102 | $2,042,657 | +8.4% | 25% | 88% | 121 | 16.50 | Buyer-leaning |
| Ballantrae | 37 | $1,501,457 | +6.4% | 26% | 92% | 42 | 11.45 | Buyer-leaning |
Listings sold = sales ÷ new listings over 12 months. Above 60% = seller-leaning; 40–60% = balanced; below 40% = buyer-leaning. Average prices cover all property types, so a change in the mix of homes sold can move a neighbourhood's average as much as the market does.
Buying or Selling in Whitchurch-Stouffville? September 2026 Strategy Guide
Buyers have the leverage. Pricing decides everything else.
79% of sales over the last year closed below list, and 44 of every 100 listings were pulled without selling. Homes priced to today's market are selling in a median of 25 days.
Execution matters more than timing right now. Talk to Matthew directly →
Whitchurch-Stouffville Investment & Rental Market Outlook — 2026
Rents in Whitchurch-Stouffville are flat. The average lease signed through the MLS over the last 12 months was $2,976 a month, +0.1% on the year. A headline rent can move with the mix of unit sizes, so we split the same leases by bedroom count, and here the split agrees: no size has moved more than 2.6% either way. What has changed is volume, with 325 leases signed against 280 the year before. See the full Whitchurch-Stouffville rental market report.
Total lease value divided by leases signed over the trailing 12 months, for each bedroom count.
| Bedrooms | Leases, 12 Months | Average Rent | vs Year Ago | From Peak | Listings Leased | Active | Median Days to Lease |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom | 48 | $2,073 | +1.3% | −9.6% | 48% | 12 | 11 |
| 2 bedroom | 83 | $2,576 | −1.6% | −16.8% | 55% | 23 | 25 |
| 3 bedroom | 99 | $3,078 | −2.6% | −4.9% | 67% | 10 | 12 |
| 4 bedroom | 82 | $3,654 | +2.3% | −7.2% | 67% | 10 | 17 |
For Investors
For Renters
For Landlords
Rents are averages of leases signed through the MLS® over the last 12 months. The gross yield compares average rent with average sale price for row townhouses; they are not the same homes, so treat it as a rough guide.
Want to Know What This Market Means for You?
Every situation is different. I break down your exact position — whether you're buying, selling, or investing — using the current Whitchurch-Stouffville data.
Whitchurch-Stouffville Real Estate FAQ — Prices, Market & Communities
Prices & Market Conditions
Community & Location
Buying, Selling & Renting
Whitchurch-Stouffville Real Estate Forecast — What to Watch in October & November 2026
The test we use for a real recovery in Whitchurch-Stouffville: 55 or more sales a month with inventory at 5.0 months or less. Here is how each of the last 12 months scored. One month passed (November 2025). September scores as caution.
Gold: recovery test met. Charcoal: caution (sales under 45, or inventory over 6 months). Pale: in between.
Inventory moving back toward 5.0 months while sales hold at 55 or more through the fall. Last year sales were 56 in October and 60 in November, so matching those levels would be the first sign. Watch the share of sales closing below list: it eased to 84% over the last three months.
Sales below 45 a month before December, or inventory staying above 6.0 months. Every property type is priced lower than a year ago; if the rural and estate share of sales falls back, the headline average will follow. The Bank of Canada's next rate decision is October 28.
This is what separates informed decisions from guesswork. Bookmark the Whitchurch-Stouffville real estate market 2026 report — updated monthly, with every month back to 2010.
Get Whitchurch-Stouffville Market Updates Every Month
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Related Reports & Resources
Coverage
Resale transactions and leases recorded through the MLS® for Whitchurch-Stouffville, Ontario. Source: HabiStat MLS® statistics, all associations, monthly from January 2010 to September 2026. Excludes new construction sold by builders, assignment sales and private sales. The current partial month is reported separately and left out of every calculation.
Key Definitions
Share of new listings sold (SNLR): sales divided by new listings in the period. Months of inventory: how long active listings would last at the current pace of sales; the three-month measure uses the trailing three months of sales. 12-month average price: total dollar volume divided by total sales over the trailing 12 months. Sale-to-list: sale price as a percentage of list price. Distance from peak: the 12-month average price against its highest level to that point.
How the Reads Are Made
Market phase compares the latest three months with the same three months a year earlier and tags each signal hotter, cooler or steady by a fixed threshold. The balance meter treats under 40% of new listings selling as a buyer's market and over 60% as a seller's market. These are rules applied to the data, not forecasts.
Limitations
Figures by property type or neighbourhood rest on smaller samples and can move with the mix of homes sold, which is why they are shown over 12 months. Average rents cover leases through the MLS® only. All data is subject to revision.
Editorial Notes
Neighbourhood descriptions and commute times are editorial and are not appraisals. Commute times reflect typical off-peak conditions.
All metrics are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. MLS® is a registered trademark of the Canadian Real Estate Association. Matthew Gizzie is a registered REALTOR® with Keller Williams Realty Centres, Brokerage.
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