
Aurora Real Estate Market — March 2026
Aurora posted its strongest sales month since late 2024, with 48 transactions and total dollar volume up 4.8% MoM — but the median price fell 10.0% to $1,055,000 on a mix shift toward the $900K–$1.25M tier. Inventory remains elevated and the market stays firmly in buyer's market territory.
Aurora's spring market is showing early signs of life — but leverage still belongs to buyers.
Sales improved 11.6% month-over-month and total dollar volume rose 4.8%, but the median price fell 10.0% MoM due to a mix shift toward the $900K–$1.25M tier. With 5.69 months of inventory and an SNLR of just 27%, buyers hold meaningful negotiating power across all price tiers.
Volume is recovering. Pricing is still resetting. Act accordingly.
Aurora Housing Market — March 2026 At a Glance
March 2026 marks a genuine inflection point for the Aurora real estate market. Sales rose to 48 — the highest monthly total since late 2024 — while total dollar volume climbed 4.8% MoM and days on market fell 16.8%. Still, Aurora's SNLR of 27% and 5.69 months of inventory confirm that buyers retain the structural advantage. For broader regional context, see the York Region housing market report and compare to the adjacent Newmarket real estate market.
Aurora Real Estate Market
March 2026 — Full Breakdown
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Aurora March 2026 in one line:
Volume is recovering. Pricing is still resetting.
Is Aurora a Buyer's or Seller's Market? — March 2026
Three core indicators define Aurora's current market balance: the Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR), months of inventory (MOI), and average days on market (DOM). All three indicate a buyer's market — though momentum is improving at the entry-to-mid tier.
Market Balance Indicator
Buyer's MarketConclusion: Transition phase — not a seller's market. Buyers act now; sellers price to market.
Best positioned: Move-up buyers selling townhomes into a tightening segment and purchasing detached with conditions. First-time buyers with flexibility on neighbourhood.
Most exposed: Sellers of luxury estates anchored to 2024–2025 peaks. Condo townhouse investors facing 18.5 months of effective inventory.
Not sure what 5.69 months of inventory means for your situation?
Get a Custom Breakdown →Aurora Home Price Trends — March 2025 to March 2026
Aurora's median sale price peaked in early 2025 and declined through the year. The March 2026 median of $1,055,000 reflects a 7.0% year-over-year decline from $1,134,900 in March 2025 — and a 10.0% decline from February's $1,171,888, driven by a mix shift toward the $900K–$1.25M tier rather than a pure price decline. Total dollar volume and transaction volume both improved MoM, confirming that the underlying demand is present even as the median price reset.
■ Prior months | ■ Current month | YoY Peak: $1,134,900 (Mar '25) | Current: $1,055,000 (Mar '26) | YoY: −7.0% | MoM: −10.0% (mix shift)
| Month | Median Price | Sales | SNLR | MOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2025 | $1,134,900 | 42 | 20% | 6.78 |
| Apr 2025 | $1,200,000 | 61 | 31% | 4.74 |
| May 2025 | $1,145,000 | 66 | 27% | 4.97 |
| Jun 2025 | $1,145,500 | 56 | 27% | 6.18 |
| Jul 2025 | $1,165,000 | 49 | 24% | 7.35 |
| Aug 2025 | $1,182,500 | 56 | 41% | 6.39 |
| Sep 2025 | $1,045,000 | 68 | 30% | 5.07 |
| Oct 2025 | $1,150,000 | 69 | 32% | 5.04 |
| Nov 2025 | $1,130,000 | 49 | 37% | 6.18 |
| Dec 2025 | $1,157,500 | 38 | 88% | 5.32 |
| Jan 2026 | $1,048,000 | 29 | 25% | 7.54 |
| Feb 2026 | $1,171,888 | 43 | 34% | 4.96 |
| Mar 2026 ✦ | $1,055,000 | 48 | 27% | 5.69 |
✦ TRREB MLS® sourced. Prior months from TRREB historical stats dashboard.
Aurora Home Prices by Property Type — Detached, Townhouse & Condo
Detached homes dominated March 2026 activity at 62.5% of all sales, with attached row townhouses making up 25%. Condo apartments and townhouses represent the remaining volume — and face the most supply pressure. For investors analyzing cash flow by property type, use the investment deal analyzer.
Month-over-Month Comparison — February vs. March 2026
| Property Type | Feb '26 Avg | Mar '26 Avg | Avg MoM | Feb Median | Mar Median | Med MoM | Feb Sales | Mar Sales | Mar DOM (avg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detached | $1,536,003 | $1,363,527 | ▼ −11.2% | $1,401,500 | $1,369,000 | ▼ −2.3% | 26 | 30 | 33 |
| Att. Row Townhouse | $952,000 | $925,608 | ▼ −2.8% | $930,500 | $919,250 | ▼ −1.2% | 6 | 12 | 15 |
| Condo Apartment | $627,833 | $733,500 | ▲ +16.8% | $515,000 | $777,500 | ▲ +51.0% | 6 | 4 | 32 |
| Condo Townhouse | $724,500 | $677,500 | ▼ −6.5% | $724,500 | $677,500 | ▼ −6.5% | 2 | 2 | 43 |
| Semi-Detached | $999,375 | — | — | $999,375 | — | — | 1 | 0 | — |
Sales Distribution by Price Range — March 2026
Aurora's sales distribution skews significantly higher than Newmarket. The $900,000–$999,999 and $1,500,000–$1,749,999 bands each captured 10 sales — confirming dual demand clusters at the townhouse/entry-detached price point and the executive detached tier. Only 5 sales occurred below $800K, reflecting Aurora's predominantly upmarket character.
| Price Range | Sales (Mar '26) | Note |
|---|---|---|
| $400,000 – $499,999 | 1 | Condo apartment entry |
| $600,000 – $699,999 | 2 | Condo townhouse range |
| $700,000 – $799,999 | 2 | Upper condo / townhome |
| $800,000 – $899,999 | 7 | Townhouse mid-range |
| $900,000 – $999,999 | 10 | Highest sub-$1M band — townhouse dominant |
| $1,000,000 – $1,249,999 | 6 | Entry detached / upper townhouse |
| $1,250,000 – $1,499,999 | 7 | Mid detached tier |
| $1,500,000 – $1,749,999 | 10 | Highest activity band above $1M — executive detached |
| $1,750,000 – $1,999,999 | 3 | Upper executive |
Current Active Inventory Snapshot
The gap between the active median list price ($1,349,000) and the sales median ($1,055,000) is approximately $294,000 — a significant spread that reveals sellers are still anchored above what the market is bearing. The 37 active listings in the $1,250,000–$1,499,999 range and 30 in the $1,750,000–$1,999,999 band represent segments with notable supply pressure.
Volume is recovering. Pricing is still resetting.
Know exactly where your property type sits before you list or buy.
Is Now a Good Time to Upgrade in Aurora?
Aurora's townhouse-to-detached price spread has widened slightly compared to the compressed levels of 2022–2023, but the current buyer's market conditions mean move-up buyers are selling into a strengthening townhouse segment and buying detached with negotiating room. See the full buyer's guide for York Region and start with a free home valuation to understand your equity position.
| Upgrade Path | Selling Price (Est.) | Buying Price (Est.) | Price Spread | Market Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Att. Townhouse → Detached | ~$919K (med) | ~$1,369,000 (med) | $450,000 | Buyer's |
| Condo Apt → Townhouse | ~$778K (med) | ~$919,000 (med) | $141,000 | Buyer's |
| Aurora → Aurora Highlands Detached | ~$1,055K (market med) | ~$1,325,000 (Highlands med) | $270,000 | Buyer's |
The townhouse segment's SNLR of 43% and 15-day average DOM mean sellers in that category have real leverage right now — an ideal position for a simultaneous list-and-buy strategy. Get a Free Valuation →
Thinking about upgrading in Aurora? Find out what your current home is worth first.
Free Home Valuation →Aurora Neighbourhoods — Where to Buy in 2026
Aurora is a relatively compact market with 8–10 TRREB-classified neighbourhoods, each with a distinct character and price point. For adjacent market context, compare to the Newmarket real estate report and Richmond Hill market report. All data reflects March 1–31, 2026.
Supply Pressure by Community — March 2026
| Community | Sales | New Listings | SNLR | Median Price | Avg DOM | SP/LP | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Highlands | 16 | 39 | 41% | $1,325,000 | 33 | 99% | Balanced |
| Rural Aurora | 10 | 25 | 40% | $1,274,500 | 19 | 99% | Balanced |
| Aurora Village | 7 | 36 | 19% | $904,000 | 23 | 98% | Buyer-Leaning |
| Aurora Grove | 2 | 3 | 67% | $897,500 | 10 | 98% | Seller-Leaning |
| Bayview Wellington | 5 | 17 | 29% | $880,000 | 17 | 97% | Buyer-Leaning |
| Bayview Northeast | 3 | 21 | 14% | $1,330,000 | 25 | 97% | Buyer-Leaning |
| Aurora Heights | 4 | 21 | 19% | $956,450 | 71 | 98% | Buyer-Leaning |
| Aurora Estates | 1 | 10 | 10% | $1,680,000 | 8 | 94% | Buyer-Leaning |
SNLR = sales ÷ new listings. Above 60% = seller-leaning; 40–60% = balanced; below 40% = buyer-leaning. Data window: March 1–31, 2026. Source: TRREB MLS®. Low-volume communities (1–3 sales) should be interpreted with caution — single transactions can significantly shift metrics.
Community-level data uses median sale price. All figures sourced from TRREB MLS® data for March 2026. Low-volume neighbourhoods (1–3 sales) are subject to high statistical variance. Subject to revision.
Buying or Selling in Aurora? March 2026 Strategy Guide
Aurora March 2026 — The One-Line Read
Volume is recovering. Pricing is still resetting.
The townhouse segment is tight. The luxury segment is loose. The $1M–$1.5M detached range is somewhere in between. Your strategy depends entirely on where you're buying or selling.
Execution matters more than timing right now. Talk to Matthew directly →
Aurora Investment & Rental Market Outlook — 2026
💼 For Investors
Aurora's rental market is supported by GO Transit commuters (Barrie Line, Aurora GO Station), Southlake Regional Health Centre staff spillover from Newmarket, and the general York Region professional relocation base. Townhomes in the $900K–$950K range are achieving gross rents in the $2,800–$3,200/month range. Gross cap rates remain compressed at approximately 3.6–4.1%. The townhouse segment's tightening supply (SNLR 43%, MOI 2.42) makes it the most defensible entry point for buy-and-hold investors. Run your numbers with the investment deal analyzer.
🏠 For Renters
Aurora's rental inventory has increased since 2024 as investor-held units came to market, giving renters more negotiating leverage on move-in incentives and lease terms than in prior years. Average asking rents for a 2-bedroom unit in Aurora are approximately $2,500–$2,800/month as of early 2026 — a premium over comparable Newmarket units, reflecting Aurora's upmarket positioning. Proximity to Aurora GO Station and Yonge Street carry consistent premiums worth $150–$250/month. If the sales market continues to improve and investor activity picks up, rental supply may tighten modestly in H2 2026.
🏢 For Landlords
Aurora's rental market remains fundamentally healthy but competitive. The dramatic supply increase in the condo townhouse segment (MOI 18.5) means landlord pricing power in that segment has decreased significantly. Well-maintained, well-located properties near transit and amenities continue to lease efficiently. For landlords considering whether to sell or continue renting, March's improving sales market may represent an improved exit window relative to late 2025. The question is whether April and May volumes confirm a sustained recovery.
Want to Know What This Market Means for You?
Every situation is different. I break down your exact position — whether you're buying, selling, or investing — using the current Aurora data.
Aurora Real Estate FAQ — Prices, Market & Neighbourhoods
Prices & Market Conditions
Neighbourhoods & Community
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Aurora Real Estate Forecast — What to Watch in April & May 2026
March's improvement is encouraging — but Aurora's lower transaction volume means confirmation requires sustained signals across multiple months. The read right now: volume is recovering, pricing is still resetting. Here's the test:
If April and May sustain 45+ sales AND months of inventory trends toward 4.5 or below, March is a structural shift. The townhouse segment tightening further (SNLR toward 50%+) would be the most reliable leading indicator to watch.
If April sales fall back below 40 or MOI stalls above 5.5, March is a seasonal blip — not a trend change. Given Aurora's historically lower transaction volume, this scenario remains plausible and should temper overly optimistic interpretations of a single month's data.
This is what separates informed decisions from guesswork. Bookmark the Aurora real estate market 2026 report — updated monthly with TRREB MLS® data.
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Related Reports & Resources
Coverage
Resale transactions only. Source: TRREB MLS® System, Aurora (City), York Region filter, reporting month of March 2026. Excludes new construction, assignment sales, and private sales.
Key Definitions
SNLR: Sales divided by new listings in the period. MOI: Active listings divided by monthly sales rate. DOM: Days from list date to firm sale. SP/LP: Sale price as a percentage of list price.
Limitations
Aurora is a lower-volume market (typically 30–70 sales/month). Segment-level and neighbourhood-level figures based on small sample sizes carry high statistical variance and should be interpreted with caution. Month-over-month comparisons should account for seasonal patterns. Some neighbourhood medians can shift by $100K+ based on a single large transaction. All data is subject to TRREB revision.
Editorial Notes
Community pricing estimates, neighbourhood descriptions, commute times, and rental ranges are editorial estimates based on available market information. They are not appraisals and should not be relied upon as valuations. Commute times reflect typical off-peak conditions. Year-over-year comparisons for some neighbourhoods reference March 2025 data which showed zero sales in certain communities; those are excluded from YoY comparison.
The data presented in this report is sourced from the TRREB MLS® System and reflects resale transactions recorded in March 2026 in Aurora, Ontario. All metrics are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial or investment advice. MLS® is a registered trademark of the Canadian Real Estate Association. Matthew Gizzie is a registered REALTOR® with Keller Williams Realty Centres, Brokerage. All figures are subject to TRREB revision.
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